SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Parma | Draw | Cagliari |
44.96% ( -0.12) | 25.3% ( -0.07) | 29.74% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 54.55% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.13% ( 0.4) | 48.86% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.04% ( 0.36) | 70.96% ( -0.37) |
| Parma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.27% ( 0.12) | 21.73% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.1% ( 0.17) | 54.9% ( -0.18) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.69% ( 0.34) | 30.31% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.51% ( 0.4) | 66.49% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Parma | Draw | Cagliari |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.96% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.13% Total : 29.74% |
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