Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Parma had a probability of 24.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.67%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Parma | Draw | Lazio |
24.03% ( 0.09) | 24.14% ( 0.08) | 51.82% ( -0.18) |
Both teams to score 53.49% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.97% ( -0.25) | 48.02% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.8% ( -0.23) | 70.19% ( 0.23) |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.64% ( -0.05) | 34.35% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.94% ( -0.06) | 71.05% ( 0.05) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.48% ( -0.17) | 18.51% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.25% ( -0.28) | 49.74% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Parma | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.18% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 24.03% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.43% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.09% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.3% Total : 51.81% |
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