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PL
Serie A | Gameweek 17
Jan 10, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
LL

Parma
0 - 2
Lazio


Busi (23'), Brugman (28'), Hernani (63'), Balogh (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Alberto (55'), Caicedo (67')
Akpa-Akpro (68')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 19.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawLazio
19.12%23.25%57.62%
Both teams to score 49.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.06%49.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.07%71.92%
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.71%40.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.09%76.91%
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92%17.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.74%47.26%
Score Analysis
    Parma 19.12%
    Lazio 57.61%
    Draw 23.25%
ParmaDrawLazio
1-0 @ 6.25%
2-1 @ 5.03%
2-0 @ 2.84%
3-1 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.35%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 19.12%
1-1 @ 11.05%
0-0 @ 6.88%
2-2 @ 4.44%
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.25%
0-1 @ 12.15%
0-2 @ 10.74%
1-2 @ 9.77%
0-3 @ 6.33%
1-3 @ 5.76%
0-4 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 2.54%
2-4 @ 1.16%
0-5 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 57.61%

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