Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 57.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 19.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.74%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Parma win it was 1-0 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lazio would win this match.
