Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Partick Thistle win with a probability of 61.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 17.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Partick Thistle win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for an Arbroath win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Partick Thistle would win this match.

Result
Partick Thistle	Draw	Arbroath
61.81% ( 0.82)	20.86% ( -0.13)	17.33% ( -0.69)

Both teams to score 53.87% (

-0.95)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.54% (

-0.58)

42.46% (

0.58)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.14% (

-0.58)

64.86% (

0.58)

Partick Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.79% (

0.06)

13.21% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.05% (

0.12)

39.94% (

-0.12)

Arbroath Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.07% (

-1.14)

37.93% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.3% (

-1.12)

74.7% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Partick Thistle 61.8%

Arbroath 17.33%

Draw 20.86%

Partick Thistle	Draw	Arbroath
2-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.3) 1-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.12) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 61.8%	1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.86%	0-1 @ 4.86% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.26% Total : 17.33%