SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heerenveen |
50.94% ( 0.79) | 22.66% ( -0.01) | 26.4% ( -0.78) |
| Both teams to score 61.02% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.8% ( -0.59) | 39.2% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.47% ( -0.62) | 61.53% ( 0.62) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.43% ( 0.06) | 15.57% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.47% ( 0.11) | 44.53% ( -0.11) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.27% ( -0.87) | 27.73% ( 0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.7% ( -1.13) | 63.29% ( 1.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.24)2-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.15)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.79% Total : 50.94% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.65% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.55% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.83% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.82% Total : 26.4% |
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