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Eredivisie | Gameweek 17
Jan 13, 2024 at 7pm UK
MAC³PARK Stadion
H

PEC Zwolle
2 - 2
Heerenveen

Namli (64'), Thy (73')
Kersten (8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tahiri (7' pen.), Nunnely (90+1')
Tahiri (8'), Kohlert (68')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 2-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, December 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-0 Heerenveen
Thursday, December 21 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

We said: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Heerenveen

There have been just one goal scored in each of the last four meetings between Zwolle and Heerenveen and we anticipate another cagey affair at the MAC³PARK Stadion, with both sides cancelling out each other's efforts and settling for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
PEC ZwolleDrawHeerenveen
50.94% (0.78700000000001 0.79) 22.66% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 26.4% (-0.78 -0.78)
Both teams to score 61.02% (-0.689 -0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.8% (-0.591 -0.59)39.2% (0.588 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.47% (-0.624 -0.62)61.53% (0.618 0.62)
PEC Zwolle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.43% (0.055999999999997 0.06)15.57% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.47% (0.109 0.11)44.53% (-0.113 -0.11)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.27% (-0.867 -0.87)27.73% (0.863 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.7% (-1.125 -1.13)63.29% (1.12 1.12)
Score Analysis
    PEC Zwolle 50.94%
    Heerenveen 26.4%
    Draw 22.65%
PEC ZwolleDrawHeerenveen
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
1-0 @ 8.03% (0.236 0.24)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.235 0.24)
3-1 @ 5.94% (0.058 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.63% (0.155 0.15)
3-2 @ 3.81% (-0.056 -0.06)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.15% (0.076 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.77% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 50.94%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.32% (0.118 0.12)
3-3 @ 1.63% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.65%
1-2 @ 6.61% (-0.126 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.54% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.55% (-0.075 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 2.63% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 26.4%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, December 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-3 Nijmegen
Saturday, December 9 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Volendam 0-5 PEC Zwolle
Saturday, December 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, November 25 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 4-0 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, November 12 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 2-0 Sittard
Sunday, November 5 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-0 Heerenveen
Thursday, December 21 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Heerenveen 1-2 Volendam
Saturday, December 16 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Heerenveen
Thursday, December 7 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Almere City
Friday, December 1 at 7pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-0 Sittard
Saturday, November 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-3 Heerenveen
Saturday, November 11 at 8pm in Eredivisie


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