SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PEC Zwolle win with a probability of 59.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 20%.
The most likely scoreline for a PEC Zwolle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.4%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PEC Zwolle would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
59.62% ( 1.51) | 20.38% ( 0.02) | 20% ( -1.53) |
| Both teams to score 60.71% ( -2.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.14% ( -2.31) | 35.86% ( 2.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.06% ( -2.59) | 57.94% ( 2.59) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.22% ( -0.31) | 11.78% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.03% ( -0.66) | 36.97% ( 0.66) |
| Heracles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% ( -2.73) | 31.19% ( 2.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.47% ( -3.3) | 67.53% ( 3.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Heracles |
| 2-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 8.4% ( 0.75)1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.79)3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.47)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.3)4-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.08)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.52% Total : 59.62% | 1-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.34)0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.27% Total : 20.38% | 1-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.18)0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.27)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.64% Total : 20% |
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