SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 51.01%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 27.34% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.52%) and 0-1 (6.51%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Macarthur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur |
27.34% ( 0.61) | 21.64% ( 0.15) | 51.01% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 65.66% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.52% ( -0.24) | 33.48% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.72% ( -0.28) | 55.27% ( 0.28) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.92% ( 0.27) | 24.08% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.63% ( 0.38) | 58.36% ( -0.38) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.49% ( -0.33) | 13.51% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.45% ( -0.65) | 40.55% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.11) 1-0 @ 4.63% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.75% Total : 27.34% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 2.09% ( 0)Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.64% | 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.07)0-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.19% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 3.1% ( -0.09)2-4 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.08)1-5 @ 1.24% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.98% Total : 51.01% |
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