SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perth Glory win with a probability of 38.85%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 37.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perth Glory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 1-2 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Perth Glory in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Perth Glory.
| Result | ||
| Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur |
38.85% ( -0.39) | 23.66% ( -0.19) | 37.49% ( 0.58) |
| Both teams to score 62.78% ( 0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.83% ( 0.96) | 39.17% ( -0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.5% ( 1) | 61.49% ( -0.99) |
| Perth Glory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.56% ( 0.23) | 20.44% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.11% ( 0.36) | 52.89% ( -0.36) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( 0.72) | 21.09% ( -0.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.08% ( 1.1) | 53.91% ( -1.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Perth Glory | Draw | Macarthur |
| 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.26)2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.48% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.88% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 38.85% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 8.29% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.3% ( 0.12)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.07)0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.8% Total : 37.49% |
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