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Australian A-League | Gameweek 9
Dec 23, 2023 at 11.30am UK
nib Stadium
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Perth Glory
3 - 2
Macarthur

Khelifi (48'), Ivanovic (65'), Williams (90+3')
Khelifi (24')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Millar (30'), Germain (42')
Auglah (90+6')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Perth Glory and Macarthur.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, December 16 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 0-3 Wellington
Monday, December 18 at 8am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 53.76%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 25.86% and a draw had a probability of 20.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.6%) and 0-2 (6.01%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Perth GloryDrawMacarthur
25.86% (0.459 0.46) 20.38% (0.112 0.11) 53.76% (-0.57400000000001 -0.57)
Both teams to score 69.04% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.47% (-0.10600000000001 -0.11)28.53% (0.104 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.6% (-0.131 -0.13)49.39% (0.13 0.13)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.59% (0.23999999999999 0.24)22.41% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.07% (0.363 0.36)55.93% (-0.364 -0.36)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.98% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)11.02% (0.186 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.67% (-0.41199999999999 -0.41)35.32% (0.41 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Perth Glory 25.86%
    Macarthur 53.76%
    Draw 20.38%
Perth GloryDrawMacarthur
2-1 @ 6.09% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 3.69% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.04% (0.061 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.76% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.38% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.25% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.03 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.86%
1-1 @ 8.15% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.72% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 2.47% (0.015 0.02)
3-3 @ 2.46% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 8.98% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.6% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.01% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.45% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-4 @ 3.64% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-4 @ 2.72% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.44% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-5 @ 1.61% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.36% (-0.004 -0)
2-5 @ 1.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.07% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 53.76%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, December 16 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-2 Melbourne City
Friday, December 8 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, December 2 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-1 Perth Glory
Sunday, November 26 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Sydney 2-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, November 11 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-0 Central Coast
Saturday, November 4 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 0-3 Wellington
Monday, December 18 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 0-2 Macarthur
Saturday, December 9 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 4-3 Adelaide United
Monday, December 4 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-1 Victory
Friday, November 24 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 3-3 Macarthur
Sunday, November 12 at 4am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 1-0 Western Utd
Saturday, November 4 at 6.30am in Australian A-League


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