SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 31.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bristol City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
31.99% ( -0.42) | 25.47% ( -0.1) | 42.55% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 55.07% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.32% ( 0.3) | 48.68% ( -0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.21% ( 0.28) | 70.8% ( -0.27) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.31% ( -0.13) | 28.69% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.49% ( -0.16) | 64.52% ( 0.17) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.22% ( 0.39) | 22.78% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.52% ( 0.57) | 56.48% ( -0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 8.16% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.14% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.99% | 1-1 @ 12.07% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.47% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 1.3% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.17% Total : 42.55% |
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