SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.93%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.17% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.81%) and 0-1 (7.46%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
22.17% ( 0.02) | 20.89% ( -0.09) | 56.93% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 62.32% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.72% ( 0.43) | 35.27% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.7% ( 0.48) | 57.29% ( -0.49) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.1% ( 0.26) | 28.9% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.22% ( 0.32) | 64.77% ( -0.33) |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.65% ( 0.16) | 12.34% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.83% ( 0.33) | 38.16% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Plymouth Argyle | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.24% Total : 22.17% | 1-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.89% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.08)0-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 6.76% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 4.19% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 3.54% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.04)1-5 @ 1.48% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)3-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 56.93% |
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