SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pogon Szczecin win with a probability of 56.86%. A win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 21.64% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pogon Szczecin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.49%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Jagiellonia Bialystok win was 1-2 (5.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
56.86% ( -0.61) | 21.49% ( 0.2) | 21.64% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 59.34% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.16% ( -0.4) | 38.84% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.85% ( -0.43) | 61.15% ( 0.43) |
| Pogon Szczecin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.48% ( -0.31) | 13.52% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.42% ( -0.63) | 40.58% ( 0.63) |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.62% ( 0.14) | 31.38% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.25% ( 0.16) | 67.75% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pogon Szczecin | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.57% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 5.67% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.53% Total : 56.86% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.92% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.67% Total : 21.64% |
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