SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 41%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Portadown win was 2-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Coleraine |
34.72% ( -0.96) | 24.28% ( -0.15) | 41% ( 1.1) |
| Both teams to score 60.04% ( 0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.42% ( 0.53) | 42.58% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.02% ( 0.53) | 64.98% ( -0.53) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.9% ( -0.29) | 24.1% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.6% ( -0.41) | 58.39% ( 0.4) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.1% ( 0.75) | 20.9% ( -0.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.39% ( 1.17) | 53.61% ( -1.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Coleraine |
| 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 5.1% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.72% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28% | 1-2 @ 8.78% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.79% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.76% Total : 41% |
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