SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Portadown had a probability of 31.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Portadown win was 1-0 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portadown | Draw | Glenavon |
31.44% ( -0.28) | 25.52% ( -0.11) | 43.04% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 54.67% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.91% ( 0.36) | 49.09% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.84% ( 0.32) | 71.16% ( -0.32) |
| Portadown Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.74% ( -0.01) | 29.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.79% ( -0.01) | 65.21% ( 0.01) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.28% ( 0.34) | 22.72% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.61% ( 0.5) | 56.38% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portadown | Draw | Glenavon |
| 1-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.26% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.44% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.18% Total : 43.04% |
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