SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 49.32%. A win for Colorado Rapids had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Colorado Rapids win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portland Timbers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
49.32% ( -0.73) | 22.93% ( 0.17) | 27.74% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 61.23% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.56% ( -0.37) | 39.44% ( 0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.21% ( -0.39) | 61.79% ( 0.39) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.77% ( -0.39) | 16.23% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.25% ( -0.73) | 45.75% ( 0.73) |
| Colorado Rapids Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.1% ( 0.2) | 26.9% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.78% ( 0.26) | 62.22% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | Colorado Rapids |
| 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.22% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.54% Total : 49.32% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.37% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.93% | 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 5.73% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.05% Total : 27.74% |
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