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Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Dignity Health Sports Park
PT

LA Galaxy
3 - 3
Portland

Zavaleta (10', 45+1'), Costa (43')
Delgado (13'), Yoshida (54')
FT(HT: 3-2)
Moreno (5'), Zavaleta (38' og.), Mora (76')
Moreno (62')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Austin 3-3 LA Galaxy
Monday, September 25 at 5.25am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 3-2 Colorado
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 Portland Timbers

Goals have been a real feature of this fixture of late, and we expect that trend to continue here. We are also tipping the home side to get the better of their visitors come the sound of the final whistle, albeit by only a narrow margin.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Portland Timbers and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 59.47%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 20.33% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 1-2 (5.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawPortland Timbers
59.47% (0.437 0.44) 20.19% (-0.185 -0.18) 20.33% (-0.252 -0.25)
Both teams to score 62.03% (0.277 0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.59% (0.538 0.54)34.41% (-0.537 -0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.604 0.6)56.32% (-0.602 -0.6)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.63% (0.28700000000001 0.29)11.37% (-0.285 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.91% (0.615 0.62)36.08% (-0.613 -0.61)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.98% (0.088000000000008 0.09)30.02% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.86% (0.103 0.1)66.14% (-0.101 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles Galaxy 59.47%
    Portland Timbers 20.33%
    Draw 20.19%
Los Angeles GalaxyDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 9.71% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.42% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-1 @ 7.04% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 5.85% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
3-2 @ 4.23% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.83% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.18% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.3% (0.052 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.66% (0.052 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.04 0.04)
5-2 @ 1% (0.034 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 59.47%
1-1 @ 8.93% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.095 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.7% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.19%
1-2 @ 5.37% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.11% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.47% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.34% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 20.33%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Austin 3-3 LA Galaxy
Monday, September 25 at 5.25am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 4-3 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, September 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Los Angeles 4-2 LA Galaxy
Sunday, September 17 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-2 St Louis City
Monday, September 11 at 1am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 0-0 Houston
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Earthquakes 2-3 LA Galaxy
Thursday, August 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 3-2 Colorado
Sunday, September 24 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Earthquakes
Thursday, September 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Austin 1-2 Portland
Monday, September 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-0 Los Angeles
Sunday, September 10 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-2 Portland
Sunday, September 3 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 2-1 Salt Lake
Thursday, August 31 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer


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