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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for DC United had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a DC United win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portland Timbers | Draw | DC United |
56.36% ( 1.44) | 22.94% ( -0.46) | 20.7% ( -0.98) |
| Both teams to score 53% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.44% ( 0.78) | 46.56% ( -0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.17% ( 0.73) | 68.83% ( -0.72) |
| Portland Timbers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.68% ( 0.79) | 16.32% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.1% ( 1.41) | 45.9% ( -1.41) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( -0.52) | 36.66% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.55% ( -0.53) | 73.45% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portland Timbers | Draw | DC United |
| 1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.2)3-1 @ 5.96% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.27)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.19)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.08)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.22% Total : 56.36% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.22) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( -0.2)2-2 @ 4.95% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.94% | 0-1 @ 6% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.73% Total : 20.7% |
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