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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 27.09% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
46.93% ( -1.22) | 25.98% ( 0.3) | 27.09% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.88% ( -0.59) | 53.12% ( 0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.3% ( -0.51) | 74.69% ( 0.51) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.37% ( -0.8) | 22.62% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.75% ( -1.2) | 56.24% ( 1.2) |
| New York Red Bulls Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.46% ( 0.44) | 34.53% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.75% ( 0.46) | 71.25% ( -0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
| 1-0 @ 11.61% 2-1 @ 9.17% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 8.63% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 4.27% ( -0.21)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.11)4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.12)Other @ 3% Total : 46.93% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0)Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.19% Total : 27.09% |
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