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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 57.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for DC United had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.13%) and 2-0 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a DC United win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | DC United |
57.72% ( 0.16) | 21.61% ( -0.01) | 20.67% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.42% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.32% ( -0.15) | 40.67% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.94% ( -0.15) | 63.06% ( 0.15) |
| Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.13% ( 0) | 13.87% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.73% ( 0) | 41.27% ( -0.01) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.66% ( -0.23) | 33.33% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.05% ( -0.25) | 69.95% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vancouver Whitecaps | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 6.53% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.22% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.24% Total : 57.72% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.62% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.6% | 1-2 @ 5.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.08% ( 0)0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.26% Total : 20.67% |
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