SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
45.61% ( -0.21) | 23.89% ( -0.02) | 30.49% ( 0.23) |
| Both teams to score 59.75% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.77% ( 0.2) | 42.23% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.36% ( 0.21) | 64.63% ( -0.21) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.26% ( -0.01) | 18.73% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.88% ( -0.01) | 50.11% ( 0) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.53% ( 0.25) | 26.46% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.35% ( 0.33) | 61.65% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
| 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.16% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.41% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.14% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.88% | 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.25% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.29% Total : 30.49% |
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