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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 17, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
EA

Porto
2 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Galeno (36'), Mario (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gaspar (17'), Genezio (43'), Vieira (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arouca 3-2 Porto
Monday, February 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-0 Portimonense
Friday, February 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Estrela Amadora

Porto have suffered a drop-off in form of late and will head into the weekend looking to find their feet. The Dragoes boast a significantly superior and more experienced squad and we fancy them to come away with a comfortable victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 85.26%. A draw has a probability of 10.3% and a win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 4.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (12.83%) and 4-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (4.92%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it is 0-1 (1.67%).

Result
PortoDrawEstrela Amadora
85.26% (-0.134 -0.13) 10.34% (0.045 0.04) 4.39% (0.0891 0.09)
Both teams to score 40.45% (0.556 0.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.06% (0.27399999999999 0.27)31.93% (-0.275 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.51% (0.321 0.32)53.48% (-0.321 -0.32)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.77% (0.025999999999996 0.03)5.22% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
79.35% (0.075000000000003 0.08)20.65% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Estrela Amadora Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.68% (0.576 0.58)57.31% (-0.576 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.78% (0.317 0.32)89.22% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Porto 85.25%
    Estrela Amadora 4.39%
    Draw 10.34%
PortoDrawEstrela Amadora
2-0 @ 13.04% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-0 @ 12.83% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-0 @ 9.47% (-0.078000000000001 -0.08)
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.118 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.26% (0.047 0.05)
3-1 @ 7.15% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
5-0 @ 5.59% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 5.27% (0.051 0.05)
5-1 @ 3.11% (0.036 0.04)
6-0 @ 2.75% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.051 0.05)
6-1 @ 1.53% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.04 0.04)
7-0 @ 1.16% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 85.25%
1-1 @ 4.92% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.99% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-2 @ 2.02% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 10.34%
0-1 @ 1.67% (0.006 0.01)
1-2 @ 1.37% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.35%
Total : 4.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Arouca 3-2 Porto
Monday, February 12 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Farense 1-3 Porto
Sunday, January 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 5-0 Moreirense
Saturday, January 20 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Braga
Sunday, January 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-4 Porto
Tuesday, January 9 at 8.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 3-0 Portimonense
Friday, February 9 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 1-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-4 Benfica
Monday, January 29 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-0 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, January 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Sunday, January 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga


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