SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 38.61%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
36.3% ( 0.11) | 25.09% ( 0.09) | 38.61% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 57.4% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.89% ( -0.44) | 46.1% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.59% ( -0.41) | 68.4% ( 0.41) |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( -0.14) | 24.85% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.54% ( -0.2) | 59.45% ( 0.2) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.38% ( -0.3) | 23.61% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.3% ( -0.44) | 57.69% ( 0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portsmouth | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 36.3% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09% | 1-2 @ 8.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.06% Total : 38.61% |
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