Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
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