Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 49.6%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portsmouth in this match.
-0.53) 
0.14) 
