Portsmouth will be desperate to claim their first home win of the season, but after drawing three of their last five home games, we think that they could play out another draw in Friday's contest, especially as they have failed to win any of their previous five matches against Sheffield Wednesday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 39.93%. A win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 35.43% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.14%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Sheffield Wednesday win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
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