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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 30.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Bristol City |
30.98% ( -0.16) | 26.33% ( -0.02) | 42.69% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 51.86% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.37% ( 0.03) | 52.63% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.72% ( 0.03) | 74.28% ( -0.02) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.64% ( -0.1) | 31.36% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.27% ( -0.11) | 67.72% ( 0.11) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.56% ( 0.11) | 24.44% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.12% ( 0.15) | 58.87% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.9% Total : 30.98% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.61% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.62% Total : 42.68% |
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