SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Bristol City |
48.28% ( -0.3) | 24.25% ( -0.03) | 27.46% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 56.42% ( 0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.3% ( 0.35) | 45.69% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.98% ( 0.33) | 68.02% ( -0.33) |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% ( 0.01) | 19.02% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.42% ( 0.02) | 50.58% ( -0.02) |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.66% ( 0.43) | 30.33% ( -0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.48% ( 0.51) | 66.52% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.21% Total : 48.28% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.25% | 0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.08% Total : 27.46% |
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