Following the disappointment of a draw against Sheffield Wednesday in midweek, Bristol City will be raring to earn three points against their Severnside foes on Sunday. Cardiff's confidence has been raised by victory over Millwall on Tuesday, although we cannot envisage a shock win for the Bluebirds in the West Country. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 53.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Cardiff City
53.65% ( -0.04)	24.73% ( 0.02)	21.61% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.8% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.21% (

-0.03)

52.78% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.59% (

-0.03)

74.41% (

0.03)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.37% (

-0.03)

19.63% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.41% (

-0.04)

51.59% (

0.04)

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.72% (

39.28% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.02% (

0.01)

75.98% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 53.64%

Cardiff City 21.61%

Draw 24.73%

Bristol City	Draw	Cardiff City
1-0 @ 12.55% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.18% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 53.64%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.83% Total : 24.73%	0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 1.41% Total : 21.61%