SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Preston North End win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Watford had a probability of 36.5% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Preston North End win was 1-0 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Preston North End would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Preston North End | Draw | Watford |
37.84% ( 0.31) | 25.66% ( -0.13) | 36.5% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.42% ( 0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.34% ( 0.6) | 48.65% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.23% ( 0.55) | 70.77% ( -0.54) |
| Preston North End Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( 0.45) | 25.18% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.09% ( 0.61) | 59.9% ( -0.61) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.07% ( 0.19) | 25.92% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.08% ( 0.25) | 60.92% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Preston North End | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.33% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.84% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 5.66% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.5% |
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