SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 74.29%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 10.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.26%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
74.29% ( 0.12) | 15.57% ( -0.01) | 10.14% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.13% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 65.52% ( -0.33) | 34.48% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 43.59% ( -0.38) | 56.41% ( 0.37) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.1% ( -0.06) | 7.89% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.06% ( -0.14) | 27.94% ( 0.13) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.6% ( -0.45) | 43.4% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.37% ( -0.38) | 79.63% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
| 2-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.08)2-1 @ 9.22% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 5.93% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 1.28% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.06% Total : 74.29% | 1-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.57% | 1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 10.14% |
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