SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Paris Saint-Germain | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Reims | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Montpellier HSC | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Nantes win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
70.6% ( 1.84) | 17.32% ( -0.87) | 12.09% ( -0.97) |
| Both teams to score 52.59% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.64% ( 1.69) | 37.36% ( -1.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.42% ( 1.8) | 59.58% ( -1.79) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.57% ( 0.9) | 9.43% ( -0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.3% ( 2.07) | 31.7% ( -2.07) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.07% ( -0.42) | 41.93% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.62% ( -0.36) | 78.38% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Nantes |
| 2-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.4)3-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.31)3-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.38)4-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.26)5-1 @ 2.1% ( 0.21)4-2 @ 1.94% ( 0.1)6-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.14)5-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.27% Total : 70.6% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.95% ( -0.33)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.32% | 1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.24) 0-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.33)0-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.16)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.4% Total : 12.09% |
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