SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 71.81%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Toulouse had a probability of 11.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 3-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.48%), while for a Toulouse win it was 1-2 (3.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Paris Saint-Germain in this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
71.81% ( 0.39) | 16.35% ( -0.29) | 11.83% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.53% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.75% ( 1.16) | 33.25% ( -1.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.99% ( 1.32) | 55.01% ( -1.33) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.88% ( 0.37) | 8.12% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.49% ( 0.92) | 28.51% ( -0.93) |
| Toulouse Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( 0.63) | 39.56% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.75% ( 0.58) | 76.25% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Toulouse |
| 2-0 @ 10.12% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 8.48% ( -0.06)1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.35)3-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 5.32% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.1)5-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 2.48% ( 0.11)4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.1)5-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.07)6-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.05)6-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.26% Total : 71.81% | 1-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.18% Total : 16.35% | 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 2.98% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 11.83% |
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