Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 70.2%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 12.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-2 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.