Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qarabag FK win with a probability of 58.19%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qarabag FK win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 1-2 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qarabag FK would win this match.
Result | ||
Qarabag FK | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
58.19% (![]() | 21.69% (![]() | 20.11% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.15% (![]() | 41.84% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.75% (![]() | 64.24% (![]() |
Qarabag FK Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.89% (![]() | 14.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.27% (![]() | 41.73% (![]() |
Lincoln Red Imps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.44% (![]() | 34.55% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.73% (![]() | 71.27% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Qarabag FK | Draw | Lincoln Red Imps |
2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.55% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.35% 3-1 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.45% 4-1 @ 3.18% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.24% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.06% Total : 58.19% | 1-1 @ 10.14% 2-2 @ 5.28% 0-0 @ 4.87% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.69% | 1-2 @ 5.39% 0-1 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.87% 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.04% Total : 20.11% |
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