SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Palestine had a probability of 25.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (8.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13%), while for a Palestine win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | Palestine |
45.48% ( 0) | 28.63% ( 0.04) | 25.89% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 42.56% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.94% ( -0.14) | 63.06% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.49% ( -0.1) | 82.51% ( 0.1) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.2% ( -0.06) | 27.8% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.61% ( -0.08) | 63.39% ( 0.09) |
| Palestine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.95% ( -0.11) | 41.05% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.4% ( -0.1) | 77.6% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qatar | Draw | Palestine |
| 1-0 @ 14.6% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.66% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 13% 0-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.5% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 10.16% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.25% Total : 25.89% |
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