SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Qingdao Jonoon had a probability of 25.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.61%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Qingdao Jonoon win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Shandong Taishan in this match.
| Result | ||
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
25.31% ( -0.16) | 24.22% ( -0.14) | 50.47% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( 0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.79% ( 0.45) | 47.2% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.56% ( 0.41) | 69.43% ( -0.42) |
| Qingdao Jonoon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.18% ( 0.11) | 32.82% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.61% ( 0.12) | 69.38% ( -0.12) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.27% ( 0.29) | 18.73% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.89% ( 0.48) | 50.1% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qingdao Jonoon | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.48% Total : 25.31% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.61% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 8.62% ( -0)1-3 @ 5.37% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 4.82% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.25% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.02% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.26% Total : 50.46% |
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