SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Beijing Guoan had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Beijing Guoan win was 2-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
29.53% ( -0.24) | 24.13% ( -0.06) | 46.33% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 58.33% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.15% ( 0.14) | 43.85% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.77% ( 0.13) | 66.23% ( -0.13) |
| Beijing Guoan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.09% ( -0.09) | 27.91% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.47% ( -0.12) | 63.53% ( 0.12) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.92% ( 0.18) | 19.08% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.31% ( 0.29) | 50.69% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beijing Guoan | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 2-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.54% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0)0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.13% | 1-2 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.82% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.31% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.25% Total : 46.33% |
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