SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Chengdu Qianbao had a probability of 36.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.85%) and 0-2 (5.89%). The likeliest Chengdu Qianbao win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
36.6% ( -0.17) | 24.52% ( 0.02) | 38.88% ( 0.15) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.57% ( -0.12) | 43.43% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.17% ( -0.12) | 65.83% ( 0.13) |
| Chengdu Qianbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.54% ( -0.14) | 23.46% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.52% ( -0.21) | 57.48% ( 0.21) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.71% ( 0.02) | 22.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.25% ( 0.03) | 55.75% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Qianbao | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.5% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.6% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.23% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.52% | 1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 5.89% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.88% |
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