SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
26.52% ( 0.17) | 24.61% ( 0.12) | 48.87% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 54.45% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.07% ( -0.4) | 47.93% ( 0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.9% ( -0.37) | 70.1% ( 0.37) |
| Meizhou Hakka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% ( -0.08) | 32.23% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.28% ( -0.09) | 68.72% ( 0.09) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( -0.28) | 19.66% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.37% ( -0.45) | 51.64% ( 0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Meizhou Hakka | Draw | Shandong Taishan |
| 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.52% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.61% | 0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.96% Total : 48.86% |
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