Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Meizhou Hakka had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest Meizhou Hakka win was 1-0 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Shandong Taishan
26.52% ( 0.17)	24.61% ( 0.12)	48.87% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 54.45% (

-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.07% (

-0.4)

47.93% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.9% (

-0.37)

70.1% (

0.37)

Meizhou Hakka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77% (

-0.08)

32.23% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28% (

-0.09)

68.72% (

0.09)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.34% (

-0.28)

19.66% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.37% (

-0.45)

51.64% (

0.45)

Score Analysis

Meizhou Hakka 26.52%

Shandong Taishan 48.86%

Draw 24.61%

Meizhou Hakka	Draw	Shandong Taishan
1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.62% Total : 26.52%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.38% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.96% Total : 48.86%