SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.76%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (6.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Sarmiento |
59.42% ( 0.15) | 24.46% ( 0.14) | 16.12% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 40.97% ( -0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.51% ( -0.88) | 58.49% ( 0.87) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.92% ( -0.69) | 79.07% ( 0.69) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.4% ( -0.28) | 19.6% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.46% ( -0.46) | 51.54% ( 0.46) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 50.95% ( -0.92) | 49.05% ( 0.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.01% ( -0.66) | 83.99% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Sarmiento |
| 1-0 @ 15.66% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 12.76% ( 0.2)2-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.5% Total : 59.41% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.31)2-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.45% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.91% Total : 16.12% |
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