SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 61.38%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Union had a probability of 14.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.79%) and 2-1 (8.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Union win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing Club | Draw | Union |
61.38% ( 0.54) | 24.35% ( -0.03) | 14.27% ( -0.5) |
| Both teams to score 37.67% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.23% ( -0.64) | 60.77% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.18% ( -0.48) | 80.82% ( 0.48) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.26% ( -0.04) | 19.74% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.24% ( -0.07) | 51.76% ( 0.07) |
| Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.93% ( -1.14) | 53.07% ( 1.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.31% ( -0.73) | 86.69% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing Club | Draw | Union |
| 1-0 @ 16.99% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 13.79% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.73% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.92% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.25% Total : 61.37% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.34% Total : 24.34% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.13% Total : 14.27% |
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