SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 48.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Rampla Juniors had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Rampla Juniors win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
48.96% ( -0.26) | 28.24% ( 0.13) | 22.8% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 40.97% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.28% ( -0.31) | 63.72% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.02% ( -0.23) | 82.98% ( 0.23) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.65% ( -0.27) | 26.35% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.5% ( -0.37) | 61.49% ( 0.37) |
| Rampla Juniors Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.63% ( -0.05) | 44.37% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.57% ( -0.04) | 80.43% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Rampla Juniors |
| 1-0 @ 15.59% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.82% Total : 48.95% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.69% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.44% Total : 28.24% | 0-1 @ 9.5% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.86% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.8% |
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