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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 46.12%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 27.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
46.12% ( 0.11) | 26.06% ( -0.01) | 27.82% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 50.95% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.01% ( -0.03) | 52.99% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.42% ( -0.02) | 74.58% ( 0.03) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.06% ( 0.04) | 22.94% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.29% ( 0.06) | 56.71% ( -0.06) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.12% ( -0.1) | 33.88% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.45% ( -0.11) | 70.55% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.48% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.12% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.05% | 0-1 @ 8.41% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.7% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 27.82% |
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