SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 36.55%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 2-1 (6.82%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 0-1 (13.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Cerro Largo |
36.55% ( 0.08) | 31.42% ( -0.01) | 32.04% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 38.4% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.61% ( 0.02) | 69.39% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 13.16% ( 0.01) | 86.84% ( -0.01) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.6% ( 0.07) | 36.4% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.82% ( 0.07) | 73.19% ( -0.07) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.37% ( -0.05) | 39.63% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.69% ( -0.04) | 76.31% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Cerro Largo |
| 1-0 @ 14.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.37% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 6.82% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.94% Total : 36.54% | 0-0 @ 14.42% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 13.49% 2-2 @ 3.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 31.41% | 0-1 @ 13.35% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.45% Total : 32.03% |
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