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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Penarol win with a probability of 51.8%. A draw has a probability of 26.4% and a win for Racing de Montevideo has a probability of 21.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.56%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it is 0-1 (8.27%).
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
51.8% ( -3.47) | 26.38% ( 1.02) | 21.82% ( 2.46) |
| Both teams to score 44.55% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.48% ( -1.03) | 58.52% ( 1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.9% ( -0.81) | 79.1% ( 0.81) |
| Penarol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.27% ( -1.89) | 22.73% ( 1.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( -2.88) | 56.41% ( 2.88) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.66% ( 2.06) | 42.34% ( -2.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.27% ( 1.73) | 78.73% ( -1.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Penarol | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 14.25% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 10.56% ( -0.82)2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.73)3-1 @ 4.48% ( -0.35)4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0.4)3-2 @ 1.93% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.23)Other @ 2.69% Total : 51.79% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( 0.47) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.15)Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( 0.76) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.51)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.19)Other @ 1.09% Total : 21.82% |
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