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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Oct 1, 2024 at 12am UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
0 - 0
Racing


Ramirez (31'), Hernandez (70')
FT

Alaniz (15'), Pereira (90+1')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Racing de Montevideo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Flamengo
Thursday, September 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Progreso
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 51.75%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.48%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Racing de Montevideo win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
PenarolDrawRacing de Montevideo
51.75% (0.262 0.26) 26.28% (-0.212 -0.21) 21.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
Both teams to score 44.97% (0.495 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.93% (0.682 0.68)58.07% (-0.684 -0.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.25% (0.532 0.53)78.74% (-0.53500000000001 -0.54)
Penarol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.44% (0.40300000000001 0.4)22.56% (-0.405 -0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (0.599 0.6)56.15% (-0.601 -0.6)
Racing de Montevideo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (0.338 0.34)41.93% (-0.341 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.62% (0.293 0.29)78.37% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Penarol 51.73%
    Racing de Montevideo 21.97%
    Draw 26.28%
PenarolDrawRacing de Montevideo
1-0 @ 14.08% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-0 @ 10.48% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.11% (0.068000000000001 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.2% (0.053 0.05)
3-1 @ 4.52% (0.088 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.68% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 51.73%
1-1 @ 12.24% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.46% (-0.249 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.96% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 26.28%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.137 -0.14)
1-2 @ 5.32% (0.025 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.57% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.021 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 21.97%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Penarol 0-0 Flamengo
Thursday, September 26 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Cerro 0-5 Penarol
Sunday, September 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Flamengo 0-1 Penarol
Thursday, September 19 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Penarol 4-0 Rampla
Saturday, September 14 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Miramar Misiones 1-2 Penarol
Saturday, September 7 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: The Strongest 1-0 Penarol
Wednesday, August 21 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Racing 1-0 Progreso
Saturday, September 21 at 8pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Defensor 1-2 Racing
Friday, September 13 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Wanderers
Saturday, September 7 at 4.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 1-1 Racing
Saturday, August 17 at 6pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-2 Racing
Monday, July 29 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-1 Huachipato (0-3 pen.)
Tuesday, July 23 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana


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