Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Racing de Santander had a probability of 34.89% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Racing de Santander win was 1-0 (11.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
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