SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 42.97%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 31.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Airdrieonians |
42.97% ( 2.56) | 25.63% ( -0.04) | 31.4% ( -2.52) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( -0.72) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.43% ( -0.55) | 49.57% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.4% ( -0.5) | 71.6% ( 0.5) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.04% ( 1.03) | 22.96% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.25% ( 1.49) | 56.75% ( -1.49) |
| Airdrieonians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( -1.9) | 29.52% ( 1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( -2.38) | 65.54% ( 2.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Airdrieonians |
| 1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.51) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( 0.27)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 4.39% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 3.6% ( 0.39)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0.14)4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.97% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.44)1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.34)2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.3)1-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.4% |
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