SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 28.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
45.18% ( -0.15) | 26.12% ( 0.04) | 28.69% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.32% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.22% ( -0.12) | 52.77% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.6% ( -0.1) | 74.4% ( 0.1) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( -0.12) | 23.28% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.78% ( -0.18) | 57.22% ( 0.18) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( 0.02) | 33.1% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.3% ( 0.02) | 69.7% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.05% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 45.18% | 1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.11% | 0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 28.69% |
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