SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 46.36%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 27.89% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
46.36% ( -0.45) | 25.75% ( -0.08) | 27.89% ( 0.53) |
| Both teams to score 51.93% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.26% ( 0.64) | 51.73% ( -0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.49% ( 0.55) | 73.51% ( -0.55) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( 0.06) | 22.3% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.24% ( 0.1) | 55.76% ( -0.1) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.83% ( 0.75) | 33.17% ( -0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.22% ( 0.82) | 69.77% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Hamilton Academical |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.17% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.2% Total : 46.35% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.4% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.1)3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.16% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.46% Total : 27.89% |
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