SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 53.61%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
53.61% ( 0.64) | 23.1% ( -0.23) | 23.29% ( -0.41) |
| Both teams to score 56.04% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.77% ( 0.57) | 44.23% ( -0.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.39% ( 0.55) | 66.61% ( -0.55) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( 0.43) | 16.45% ( -0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.86% ( 0.78) | 46.14% ( -0.78) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( -0.05) | 32.92% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.49% ( -0.06) | 69.5% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Dunfermline Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 8.82% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.61% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.1% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.41% Total : 23.29% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
